Publication detail

Methodology of population projections


  • Statistical Series
  • 18. November 2015
  • Vol 100, Issue 43
  • ISSN: 1670-4770


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In this paper we describe the statistical methods used by Statistics Iceland for annual, short term and long term population projections. The central idea of our work is that by rigorous analysis of the time series data on migration, births and deaths, one can build valid statistical models, which can then be used for calculating point estimates and confidence intervals for predicted population components.
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